There will be no surprises on Thursday!At present, there is nothing wrong with the medium and long-term trend, so don't worry too much. Strategically, we will continue to watch more. Tactically, we will follow the trend and take the initiative step by step.The latest progress of stamp duty in Hong Kong has come!
The latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.At present, the market has also reached a very critical stage. If the large-cap stocks of heavyweights don't make efforts to push the index to a higher level, the short-term risk is relatively large in terms of the current position of CSI 2000 and micro-cap stocks. For example, the CSI 2000 index closed at 2635.58 today, and the high point in January 2022 was 2700.24, which is very close. It has not crossed this high point for more than two years, which shows that the pressure here is very great. If the market does not continue to launch upward, then it is impossible to complete an effective breakthrough by relying on small-cap stocks themselves, and it is impossible to get out of the independent market. Once the platform is effectively established, a larger level of space will be opened, and small-cap stocks will hopefully step out of a larger level of market. Otherwise, this wave of sharp rebound may stop here.
Federal Reserve's December OutlookThis is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.At present, I am optimistic about tomorrow's trend. It is stronger than expected to maintain this trend today. Although the index has not increased much, the short-term trend at the daily level is still upward, and the quantity can be maintained. Should it continue to rise? The probability of continuing to close up tomorrow is still very high, and the short-term trend of the 60-minute level is to go well again.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13